Abstract

Objectives

To evaluate the cost effectiveness of dolutegravir + abacavir/lamivudine (DTG + ABC/3TC) compared with raltegravir + abacavir/lamivudine (RAL + ABC/3TC) and ritonavir-boosted darunavir + abacavir/lamivudine (DRV/r + ABC/3TC) in HIV-1–infected treatment-naive patients in Russia.

Methods

A dynamic Markov model was developed with five response states and six CD4-based health states. Efficacy estimated as probability of viral suppression (HIV RNA and mortality costs. A patient lifetime analysis was conducted using the societal perspective. Outcomes were quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life-years, incremental cost per QALY ratio, and incremental cost per responder.

Results

The viral suppression rate among patients receiving DTG + ABC/3TC was 71.7% compared with 65.2% for RAL + ABC/3TC and 59.6% for DRV/r + ABC/3TC. The mean duration of response per patient was 116.6 months for DTG + ABC/3TC, 108.6 months for RAL + ABC/3TC, and 98.9 months for DRV/r + ABC/3TC. Total discounted costs for treatment over patient lifetime were RUB 2.89, 5.32, and 4.38 million for DTG + ABC/3TC, RAL + ABC/3TC, and DRV/r + ABC/3TC, respectively. Lifetime discounted QALYs were 12.73 for patients on DTG + ABC/3TC and 12.72 each for patients on RAL + ABC/3TC and DRV/r + ABC/3TC. DTG + ABC/3TC thus dominated the other two alternatives.

Conclusions

With lower costs, higher response rates, and comparable QALYs, DTG + ABC/3TC can be considered as a cost-effective alternative.