Comparison of Survival Outcomes for [177Lu]Lu-PSMA-617 vs Other Systemic Treatments in Post-Taxane Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer Setting: A Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis

Author(s)

Risson V1, Maheshwari V2, Chakravarty A2, OLoughlin A3, Khare A4, Joshi P4
1Novartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland, 2Parexel International, Hyderabad, India, 3Novartis Ireland Ltd., Dublin, Ireland, 4Novartis Healthcare Private Limited, Hyderabad, India

OBJECTIVES: Numerous treatment options are available for metastatic castration resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) patients, yet optimal sequencing remains an unmet medical need. In the absence of head-to-head trials, Bayesian network meta-analysis (BNMA) was used to compare survival outcomes for [177Lu]Lu‑PSMA‑617 (177Lu-PSMA-617) vs. androgen receptor pathway inhibitors (ARPI), mitoxantrone (MIT), and cabazitaxel+prednisone (CABA) in the post-taxane mCRPC setting.

METHODS: A systematic literature review using MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane databases was conducted. Feasibility assessment was conducted to evaluate heterogeneity. Log cumulative hazard plots and Schoenfeld residual plots for each RCT were tested for proportionality of hazard (PH) for overall survival (OS) and radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS). BNMA with fixed effects model (FEM) and random effects model (REM) compared OS and rPFS for 177Lu-PSMA-617 vs. comparators. Results based on FEM were preferred over REM due to limited data-points. League tables for outcomes expressed in hazard ratio (HR) with 95% credible interval (CrI) were developed to assess relative efficacy between comparators. Scenario analyses (SA) were additionally conducted to determine the robustness of the results.

RESULTS: Final analysis consisted of 6 RCTs with 4 treatment nodes, connected through a central ARPI node. For most of the studies, PH assumption was valid. BNMA (FEM) showed 177Lu-PSMA-617 significantly improved OS HR vs. MIT (0.39, 95% CrI: [0.29–0.51]), ARPI (0.54, 95% CrI: [0.41–0.70]), and CABA (0.59, 95% CrI: [0.43–0.80]). 177Lu-PSMA-617 showed significant benefit in rPFS HR vs. each comparator; MIT (0.30, 95% CrI: [0.21–0.43]), CABA (0.48, 95% CrI: [0.33–0.71]), and ARPI (0.53, 95% CrI: [0.37–0.75]). SA results were aligned with the primary analysis.

CONCLUSIONS: As part of the indirect treatment comparison, 177Lu-PSMA-617 demonstrated a statistically significant improvement in OS and rPFS vs. comparators. Although direct comparative evidence to inform treatment selection in post-taxane mCRPC is lacking, these findings indicate that 177Lu-PSMA-617 may yield improved survival outcomes for patients in this setting.

Conference/Value in Health Info

2024-11, ISPOR Europe 2024, Barcelona, Spain

Value in Health, Volume 27, Issue 12, S2 (December 2024)

Code

CO42

Topic

Clinical Outcomes

Topic Subcategory

Comparative Effectiveness or Efficacy

Disease

No Additional Disease & Conditions/Specialized Treatment Areas, Oncology

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