Abstract

Objectives

The objective of this study was to characterize the epidemiological development of cancer in the Middle East and Africa since 2000 and to quantify its current economic impact.

Methods

Nine countries were studied: Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Morocco, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates. Information on causes of death and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) was obtained from the World Health Organization. Information on cancer incidence was collected from local cancer registries and estimations by the World Health Organization. The economic burden of cancer was estimated from local health expenditure data and from age-specific mortality data.

Results

Between 2000 and 2019, cancer went from third-leading to second-leading cause of death (10% to 13% of all deaths) across these 9 countries. It also climbed from the sixth-leading to third-leading cause of DALYs (6% to 8% of all DALYs). New cancer cases per 100 000 inhabitants increased by 10% to 100% between 2000 and 2019, whereas future increases until 2040 range from 27% in Egypt to 208% in the United Arab Emirates, solely because of expected demographic changes. The economic burden of cancer ranged from around USD 15 per capita in the 4 African countries to USD 79 in Kuwait in 2019.

Conclusions

Cancer is becoming one of the leading causes of disease burden in the Middle East and Africa. Patient numbers are expected to rise strongly in the coming decades. Increasing healthcare expenditure on appropriate cancer care is important to improve patient outcomes and can attenuate the economic impact of cancer on society.